📈 Technical Analysis – AUD/USD (4H Chart)
Current price: 0.64113
Your chart indicates:
A bullish reversal from the recent low
Price likely to push higher toward 0.64600–0.64800
The upward arrow and timing (near U.S. data release) suggests anticipation of USD weakening or risk-on rally
Pattern:
The pair appears to be forming a higher low
A breakout above 0.64350 could trigger momentum buying
🌐 Fundamental Drivers – AUD/USD
🇦🇺 Australia Side
Jobs data due May 16 – expected to show moderate growth
RBA maintains a neutral to slightly hawkish stance due to persistent services inflation
🇺🇸 US Side
CPI data (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16) are key
If CPI is cooler than expected, the USD could weaken, pushing AUD/USD up
✅ Conclusion
Your forecast suggests a bullish setup with a possible push toward 0.64800 if AUD holds above 0.63900 and macro data aligns (especially if USD weakens post-CPI). Look for confirmation through a clean break above 0.64350. A dovish Fed or strong AU jobs data would fuel the move.
Current price: 0.64113
Your chart indicates:
A bullish reversal from the recent low
Price likely to push higher toward 0.64600–0.64800
The upward arrow and timing (near U.S. data release) suggests anticipation of USD weakening or risk-on rally
Pattern:
The pair appears to be forming a higher low
A breakout above 0.64350 could trigger momentum buying
🌐 Fundamental Drivers – AUD/USD
🇦🇺 Australia Side
Jobs data due May 16 – expected to show moderate growth
RBA maintains a neutral to slightly hawkish stance due to persistent services inflation
🇺🇸 US Side
CPI data (May 15) and Retail Sales (May 16) are key
If CPI is cooler than expected, the USD could weaken, pushing AUD/USD up
✅ Conclusion
Your forecast suggests a bullish setup with a possible push toward 0.64800 if AUD holds above 0.63900 and macro data aligns (especially if USD weakens post-CPI). Look for confirmation through a clean break above 0.64350. A dovish Fed or strong AU jobs data would fuel the move.
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.
İlgili yayınlar
Feragatname
Bilgiler ve yayınlar, TradingView tarafından sağlanan veya onaylanan finansal, yatırım, işlem veya diğer türden tavsiye veya tavsiyeler anlamına gelmez ve teşkil etmez. Kullanım Şartları'nda daha fazlasını okuyun.